| Thank you, Ed.
It is a great honor to be here today. As some of the most disruptive
technologies likely to emerge in the first half of the 21st century,
nanotechnologies present an incredibly important topic. Experts
gathered by the NSF predict the market for nanotech products and
services will exceed $1 trillion in the US alone by 2015. Even if
they are only 1/3rd correct, that represents over 3% of our current
GDP.
With respect to Ed's opening question - are venture capitalists
too short-term focused to adequately fund nanotech - I'd suggest
that the American VC industry has its strengths and weaknesses,
like everything else. Pessimism about VCs today is much like optimism
about VCs in 2000 - both estimations are probably overblown. Remember
first that VCs have not traditionally invested as much in long-range,
high-risk, pre-competitive technology development, so the current
climate may not represent a "broken" model as much as
a return to normalcy. One thing I do know is that every other country
on the face of the earth is desperately seeking to develop a similar
market-based engine of growth, innovation and entrepreneurship.
America's seed, angel and venture investors are the envy of the
world and will remain critical elements of our economic and technology
leadership in the years ahead.
That said, Ed is certainly correct in predicting that a good deal
of today's VC industry is being impacted by the boom and bust of
the late 1990s - either expecting unrealistically large and fast
returns or unwilling to take good risks today following bad experiences
over the past few years. And because the knock-your-socks-off, over-the-horizon
nanotech applications, like those in biotech, require patient capital
with a strong stomach for long-term risk, venture capitalists are
more likely to put their money into more incremental advances.
And that, of course, will lead many to suggest government should
step in. The federal government does indeed have an important and
critical role in nanotech. Yet just because VCs aren't willing or
able to fund every would-be nano-entrepreneur with an idea it does
not mean government should. Nor could it. I would suggest the government's
role in the research, development, and commercialization of nanotechnology
includes 10 core elements.
First. Funding long-term basic research. Both to support high-risk
research and to promote the education and training of future nanotech
innovators, the federal government needs to invest heavily in promising
technologies. And we are. The Bush Administration increased USG
nanotech research 46.3% in its first two budgets - from $463.85M
(actual) in 2001 to $678.7M (proposed) for 2003. In addition, government
R&D programs such as the SBIR program and the ATP program at
NIST try and help finance generic, pre-competitive enabling technologies.
Second. Coordinating efforts among federal and university research,
to leverage synergies and avoid redundancies. That's why we aggressively
support the National Nanotechnology Initiative and the great work
in Nanotechnology at our federal labs such as NIST.
Third. Monitoring global developments and competitiveness implications.
America is certainly not the only nation to recognize the promise
and importance of nanotechnology. Japan and other leading economies
in Asia are also investing heavily, while a recent EU report suggests
EU nanotech funding is vastly under-counted and that the emerging
field is "ours to lose." It will remain critical for business,
government and financial leaders to follow international efforts
closely - both to accelerate progress by sharing information and
to assess America's global competitiveness. In this regard my office
is in the process of preparing a report comparing global nanotechnology
R&D. We are hoping to release our report in the spring.
Fourth. Helping everyone maintain realistic expectations. A great
deal of nanotechnology is extraordinarily promising, yet there is
also excessive hype. Irrational exhuberance… well we all know
what that can lead to. Government needs to provide leaders with
unemotional and unbiased assessments of the value and implications
of technology, providing the accurate information so essential to
efficient market operations.
Fifth. Helping ensure consideration of the social, legal and ethical
implications. That is not to suggest that Bill Joy is right, that
the future does not need us and grey goo will take over the planet.
But technology is neither good nor bad - even nanotechnology. It
can enable extraordinary things, and we all hope nanotech will allow
for radical improvements in the human condition. Technology can
also be misused or misunderstood. Nanotechnology innovations are
most likely to enable progress when they are understood by the public
and used responsibly, and the government can help here.
Sixth. Aggressively protecting intellectual property while also
ensuring protections do not stifle research. If Patent and Trademark
Office examiners have a hard time with complex biotechnology applications,
image what self-assembling, self-replicating blood-based nanobots
will do to them. Yet we will need a reliable and effective regime
for processing and protecting intellectual property to ensure the
investments are made and the commercialization can happen.
Seventh. Supporting academic access to the best and brightest students
and researchers from around the world while protecting national
security and encouraging more American students to pursue careers
in technology. Stan Williams of Hewlett-Packard famously tells of
a nanotech team where half his researchers - the younger half -
are foreign nationals, while nano-entrepreneur Jim Von Ehr describes
his team at Zyvex as overwhelmingly coming from abroad. America's
openness to immigrants and incomparable research and business climates
have ensured that the best and brightest technologists from around
the world have come here to do their work.
Eighth. Working to improve nanotech networks. The nations most
likely to win the nanotechnology race will be those most able to
commercialize innovations, and that will take effective networks
among entrepreneurs, seed and venture funders, academics and industry
leaders. At Commerce the Technology Administration continues to
work to bring industry and financial leaders together with researchers
and academics, co-sponsoring conferences at UCLA and Rice University
(so far), doing our best to help build nanotech networks.
Ninth. Purchasing goods and services where appropriate and needed.
Government procures remarkable amounts of stuff. In 2003, we'll
buy $52 billion in IT products alone, for example. Government procurement
officers will need to stay abreast of developments in nanotechnology,
ensuring we are early adopters of innovations that improve government
services and returns on taxpayer investment.
And tenth. Ensuring reliable information in the markets so efficient
investments can be made. The financial markets today seem to suffer
from three overriding factors: (1) post-bubble reaction to excess
capacity built in the late 1990s, (2) post-9/11 uncertainty over
risk and reallocation of resources to security, and (3) reduced
confidence in the reliability of corporate information after revelations
of the accounting scandals of the late 1990s. This Administration
is taking aggressive actions to promote security, punish those who
broke the law and restore confidence in the reliability of corporate
accounting.
We are committed to working together to promote American success
in the research, development and commercialization of nanotechnology.
I look forward to today's panel and to working with so many of you
on this critically important technology. Thanks.
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